Thursday, April 30, 2015

NHL Playoffs 2015: Flames Vs. Ducks Prediction

Calgary Flames Vs. Anaheim Ducks

Market Watch

Want to bet against the Flames? It's going to cost to take the Ducks straight up in this series. Right now they sit at -200 with a 66.7% win probability.  That's steep, but considering how unlikely Calgary's run has been this year, it's also no surprise. For a more affordable option, you can pick Anaheim to win in 6 or less (-115), or roll the dice on Calgary's improbable season to continue at +176. Either way, not appealing odds given the matchup.

Bottom Line

In round 1, I picked the Canucks to beat the Flames, but I went into that series having no idea what would happen. They were the two "worst" teams in the playoffs facing off against one another, and the Flames prevailed with a clinching come-from-behind game 6.

And speaking of comebacks, that's exactly what the Ducks did in 3 of the 4 games against the Jets. I thought the Jets had the best value in the opening round, but they couldn't close a game to save their lives and got swept in 4 - despite holding leads for most of the series.

Both of these teams were the top 3rd period comeback teams of the regular season, and now they meet for round 2.

On paper, there are no mysteries with these teams. Anaheim isn't the paper tiger they were of recent years, but they also have an uphill climb to prove they are contenders. They hold the advantage in almost every prominent category here though, including possession, scoring chances, home-road splits, goaltending, and special teams. If Calgary do want to advance, they'll need Hiller to stand on his head versus his former club.

It was a great, great run for Calgary, but it has to end here, right? My only question is in how many games.

Pick: Ducks -1.5 (-115) (2u)